Penafiel vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 1
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 2
FAR
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 0
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 2
PEN
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
FCM
2 - 1
NAV
37%
25%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ACA
2 - 1
NAV
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAV
2 - 4
AVE
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CHA
4 - 1
NAV
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NAV
2 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |