Penafiel vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
CHA
4 - 1
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
PEN
0 - 1
SPB
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
BMA
2 - 1
PEN
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
PEN
1 - 1
LEX
50%
30%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
FCP
2 - 0
PEN
81%
13%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
NAC
2 - 0
BOA
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
SCP
4 - 0
NAC
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 1
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
VST
0 - 1
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
FAF
2 - 0
NAC
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |