Penafiel vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
NAC
4 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
PEN
3 - 3
ACA
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
AVE
52%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 1
FEL
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 1
NAV
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
FEL
3 - 0
MOR
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
MOR
5 - 1
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MOR
2 - 0
ACA
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |