Penafiel vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
VST
5 - 0
PEN
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
PEN
1 - 3
FAF
73%
15%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
FAF
1 - 1
PEN
41%
22%
37%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
VIL
0 - 2
PEN
30%
23%
46%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
16%
27%
57%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
EST
0 - 0
MAR
43%
31%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
POR
3 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
MAR
5 - 0
UDL
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
FCP
3 - 0
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |