Penafiel vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
14.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FEI
1 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
FAR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FAF
1 - 1
PEN
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SCP
4 - 2
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
MAF
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAF
1 - 1
VSC
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
OLH
2 - 1
MAF
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAF
0 - 0
ATL
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAF
1 - 0
ORI
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |