Penafiel vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 2
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
UDL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 4
PEN
6%
12%
82%
|
65 | 11 | 54 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
LUS
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 2
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
LUS
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
REG
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
SPC
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |