Penafiel vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
RIO
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 2
PEN
9%
18%
73%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
PEN
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
MAF
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LEX
1 - 2
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
LEX
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LEX
5 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LEX
2 - 0
FEI
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 0
LEX
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |