Penafiel vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
29.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
PEN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TON
2 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
AVE
36%
30%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
UNM
46%
28%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
PEN
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
LEX
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AVE
0 - 0
LEX
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LEX
3 - 1
POR
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LEX
0 - 0
TON
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UNM
1 - 1
LEX
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |