Penafiel vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
PEN
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
0 - 0
PEN
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAV
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
GON
0 - 1
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VIZ
0 - 1
GON
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
GON
1 - 1
OLH
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
VIZ
1 - 0
GON
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
GON
0 - 0
LEX
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |