Penafiel vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
38.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 3
SCF
40%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 0
PEN
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 2
BMA
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
GFC
4 - 0
TRO
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
GFC
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 1
SCF
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
BMA
2 - 1
GFC
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GFC
0 - 3
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |