Penafiel vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
PEN
0 - 0
MAI
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CAM
1 - 0
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
PEN
1 - 2
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
OLI
1 - 1
PEN
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
OVA
0 - 0
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
BMA
2 - 2
GFC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
GFC
2 - 1
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
SLB
2 - 0
GFC
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GFC
1 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 1
GFC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |