Penafiel vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
VIZ
3 - 1
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
EST
3 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
BEN
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
COV
2 - 3
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FEI
2 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
FEI
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 2
VIZ
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
FEI
3 - 1
LEX
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 2
FEI
26%
29%
46%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +2 |