Penafiel vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
PEN
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
SPC
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARO
6 - 3
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 0
AVE
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 4
PEN
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
FAT
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 5
FEI
38%
28%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 1
VAR
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 1
FEI
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FEI
1 - 0
BEL
44%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |