Penafiel vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 4
PEN
36%
29%
36%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 2
VSC
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
PEN
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 4
VST
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEN
43%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
EST
1 - 0
FAR
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 1
BEN
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 1
FAR
33%
29%
39%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 0
MAF
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FAR
2 - 2
VSC
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |