Penafiel vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
27.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1992 |
LEX
1 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
FCP
2 - 1
PEN
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
PEN
1 - 0
CHA
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
PEN
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAR
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
FAM
2 - 0
UNM
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BMA
0 - 0
FAM
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
FAM
0 - 0
SLB
16%
26%
58%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAM
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
FAM
0 - 1
FAR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |