Penafiel vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
RIO
1 - 3
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
PEN
0 - 0
VST
37%
30%
34%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
POR
3 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
PEN
1 - 2
SCP
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIT
33%
30%
38%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
EST
0 - 0
FAR
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
RIO
3 - 1
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 1
EST
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
EST
1 - 1
RIO
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |