Penafiel vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ALV
2 - 0
PEN
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAV
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 1
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 2
FAR
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
AVE
0 - 0
LEC
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
FCM
2 - 0
AVE
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
AVE
3 - 1
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
OVA
3 - 2
AVE
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |