Penafiel vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 1
FEL
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
PEN
0 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
ACV
1 - 0
PEN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
UNI
2 - 0
PEN
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 1
AVE
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 4
MOR
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 3
ACA
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |