Penafiel vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
30.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 1
POR
41%
33%
26%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
SAL
0 - 0
PEN
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 2
SLB
9%
23%
68%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
SPC
1 - 1
PEN
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 1
VST
40%
32%
28%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
AVE
3 - 1
SAL
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
SLB
4 - 0
AVE
92%
6%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
AVE
3 - 0
SPC
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
VST
0 - 0
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
AVE
0 - 1
VIT
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |