Penafiel vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 0
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FEI
2 - 0
PEN
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PEN
2 - 2
NAV
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 0
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
FEI
0 - 1
CHA
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 0
NAV
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 2
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAL
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |