Penafiel vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
31.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1991 |
SPB
2 - 0
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
PEN
0 - 0
FAM
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
VST
3 - 0
PEN
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
PEN
1 - 2
NAC
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
UNM
3 - 0
PEN
43%
28%
28%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1991 |
CHA
1 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
GFC
2 - 2
CHA
46%
30%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
CHA
6 - 0
BMA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
MAR
2 - 2
CHA
50%
28%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
CHA
0 - 3
SLB
23%
27%
51%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |