Penafiel vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
32.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 2
PEN
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
POR
2 - 0
PEN
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
ACA
0 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 0
SAL
42%
32%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 0
PEN
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
CHA
0 - 0
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
CHA
0 - 2
SAL
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
4 - 0
CHA
86%
10%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHA
57%
20%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
CHA
2 - 2
SPC
57%
24%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |