Penafiel vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 2
SAN
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GFC
3 - 1
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 0
PEN
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SLB
0 - 0
PEN
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
GFC
18%
28%
55%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 0
CAR
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPC
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |