Penafiel vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
EST
3 - 3
PEN
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
RIO
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
SCP
3 - 2
PEN
77%
17%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VST
0 - 1
PEN
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 0
BEL
27%
27%
45%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
BOA
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
3 - 1
VIT
18%
27%
56%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 1
BOA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 2
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |