Penafiel vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SCP
0 - 2
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 2
FCP
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEL
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
EST
3 - 2
PEN
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
PEN
3 - 0
UDL
30%
27%
42%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
BOA
2 - 0
BEL
57%
26%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
EST
3 - 3
BOA
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
BOA
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BOA
0 - 0
UDL
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
RIO
2 - 2
BOA
37%
27%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |