Penafiel vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIT
39%
30%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
GFC
0 - 0
PEN
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
PEN
3 - 0
BMA
43%
30%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
PEN
1 - 1
SLB
15%
27%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
BOA
1 - 1
BMA
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 1
BOA
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
BOA
1 - 2
SLB
28%
28%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
SCP
2 - 1
BOA
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
BOA
1 - 1
FCP
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |