Penafiel vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
SCP
6 - 0
PEN
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIT
41%
32%
27%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
VST
1 - 1
PEN
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 0
SLB
10%
22%
68%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
BOA
1 - 0
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
BOA
2 - 0
SAL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
VIZ
0 - 2
BOA
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1985 |
VAR
3 - 2
BOA
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
BOA
1 - 0
BEL
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
SCP
2 - 1
BOA
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |