Penafiel vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
11%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
59.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
ACA
1 - 1
PEN
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
PEN
3 - 2
FAR
48%
29%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ESP
0 - 0
PEN
46%
29%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
PEN
4 - 1
RIO
39%
32%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
PEN
3 - 0
SPB
36%
30%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
AGF
0 - 0
SLB
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
SLB
2 - 0
SAL
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLB
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
SLB
1 - 0
OEL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
PAR
0 - 3
SLB
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |