Penafiel vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
67.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
16%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
BOA
1 - 0
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
41%
31%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 0
PEN
89%
8%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 0
SPB
36%
31%
33%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
VIZ
2 - 2
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
SLB
5 - 1
VAR
87%
9%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 3
SLB
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 34 | 54 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1985 |
SAL
2 - 3
SLB
9%
17%
75%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
SLB
6 - 0
FAR
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |