Penafiel vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
POR
2 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCP
12%
20%
68%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
SLB
6 - 0
PEN
92%
6%
2%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
PEN
0 - 2
VIT
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
SPB
3 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
MAR
0 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
SCP
3 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACV
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
FCP
3 - 1
BEL
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |