Penafiel vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
28.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
VIT
2 - 0
PEN
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1989 |
PEN
1 - 0
VST
30%
32%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 1
PEN
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
PEN
1 - 0
EST
35%
32%
34%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
UNM
2 - 1
PEN
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
VIT
2 - 0
BMA
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
BMA
0 - 0
VST
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 0
BMA
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
BMA
1 - 0
EST
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
UNM
4 - 1
BMA
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -2 |