Penafiel vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
34%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
LEX
1 - 1
PEN
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
PEN
0 - 1
FCP
14%
28%
59%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
SLB
2 - 1
PEN
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
SCP
7 - 0
PEN
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
PEN
1 - 2
MAR
47%
29%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
BMA
0 - 2
BOA
52%
27%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
SCP
0 - 0
BMA
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
BMA
1 - 0
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 1
BMA
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +11 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
BMA
2 - 2
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |