Penafiel vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
POR
3 - 2
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
LEX
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 1
PEN
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
ARO
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
PEN
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
4 - 1
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
POR
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 0
ATL
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
LEX
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 2
ATL
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |