Prev. Taça da Liga Final
Global 2-1
Penafiel vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
LEX
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
PEN
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 1
TIR
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
BMA
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 1
RIO
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 0
ARO
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
ACA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
ACA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |