Penafiel vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
AVE
52%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 1
FEL
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
PEN
0 - 1
ESP
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
ACV
1 - 0
PEN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
ACA
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
ACA
1 - 2
SAL
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ACA
2 - 1
FEL
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MOR
2 - 0
ACA
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACA
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |