Penafiel vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
28.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 0
SLB
11%
22%
67%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
SPB
2 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
PEN
1 - 1
CHA
37%
31%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 2
PEN
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
POR
2 - 0
PEN
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
ACA
3 - 0
SAL
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
ACA
4 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
ACA
0 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |