Penafiel vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
VST
0 - 0
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
PEN
2 - 0
AMO
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
BEL
3 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
PEN
3 - 0
POR
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
SCP
1 - 0
PEN
83%
11%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
ACA
1 - 1
AMO
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
POR
4 - 0
ACA
71%
20%
10%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
15%
26%
60%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
SPB
1 - 0
ACA
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
ACA
0 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |