Penafiel Sub 19 vs Regua Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.9%
1.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GON
2 - 2
PEN
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
12 - 1
OFR
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 1
PEN
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Regua Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
REG
0 - 5
PAD
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
REG
0 - 11
BOA
5%
12%
83%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | -1 |