Penafiel U19 vs Lusitania FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
PEN
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GON
0 - 0
PEN
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
LEX
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BOA
1 - 4
PEN
69%
17%
15%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
ACV
66%
17%
17%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
PAD
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PAÇ
5 - 1
LUS
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
GON
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LEX
2 - 0
LUS
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
BOA
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |