Penafiel Sub15 vs SC Salgueiros U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
8º
7º
28
5º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel Sub15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FEI
0 - 0
PEN
60%
20%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
PAÇ
45%
22%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TBR
1 - 1
PEN
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 3
BOA
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FEI
1 - 0
SAL
72%
16%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 8
POR
5%
13%
82%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 1
ADB
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FEI
0 - 1
SAL
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |