Penafiel Sub15 vs Rio Ave U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
4º
4º
14
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 15 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 1 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel Sub15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PAÇ
4 - 1
PEN
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 0
VRZ
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
FAM
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
PAÇ
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAÇ
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VRZ
1 - 1
RIO
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
FAM
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
RIO
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |