Penafiel Sub15 vs Famalicão U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
62%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
4º
4º
12
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 15 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 1 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel Sub15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
PAÇ
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VRZ
0 - 1
PEN
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
PEN
29%
21%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 7
BOA
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Famalicão U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FAM
0 - 2
PAÇ
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VRZ
0 - 2
FAM
9%
15%
76%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FAM
2 - 2
RIO
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ADB
2 - 2
FAM
7%
13%
80%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 0
BRA
5%
12%
82%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | +5 |