Penafiel Sub15 vs Avanca Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
8º
7º
1
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel Sub15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VBF
1 - 0
PEN
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
3 - 1
PEN
48%
22%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 1
FEI
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
TBR
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Avanca Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AVC
0 - 4
FEI
9%
14%
77%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PAÇ
5 - 0
AVC
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AVC
0 - 2
TBR
9%
15%
76%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 2
AVC
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
AVC
0 - 9
BOA
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | -1 |