Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 2-6
Peña Sport vs FC Vilafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GER
3 - 1
PEÑ
66%
21%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
ARE
20%
25%
56%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
PEÑ
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
RUN
0 - 0
PEÑ
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RSO
1 - 1
PEÑ
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
FC Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FIG
1 - 3
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
REU
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
PEÑ
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
HOS
0 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PRA
2 - 0
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |