Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-4
Peña Sport vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
MUT
3 - 1
PEÑ
26%
28%
46%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CDM
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
BFC
1 - 0
PEÑ
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
RSO
43%
27%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
ZAR
1 - 0
PEÑ
72%
20%
8%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VAD
1 - 0
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VAD
3 - 2
PUE
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
CEL
2 - 0
VAD
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
VAD
1 - 0
REC
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
MUR
3 - 1
VAD
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |