Peña Sport vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
FIG
2 - 1
PEÑ
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RCD
26%
27%
47%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
SAB
1 - 0
PEÑ
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CAS
2 - 0
PEÑ
59%
24%
18%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
AZK
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RCD
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 0
ZAR
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GIR
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
ZAR
0 - 0
BEN
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAR
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |