Peña Sport vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 2
PEÑ
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
IDO
70%
18%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
SUB
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 2
PEÑ
10%
19%
71%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
COR
63%
22%
15%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
OBE
0 - 1
SJU
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HUA
0 - 1
OBE
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
OBE
1 - 0
VAL
57%
23%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PAM
1 - 2
OBE
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
OBE
1 - 1
BUR
37%
27%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |