Tercera Playoffs Final
Global 4-2
Peña Sport vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
NAX
1 - 1
PEÑ
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +4 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 2
PEÑ
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
LPA
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
LPA
2 - 1
PEÑ
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
NAX
1 - 1
PEÑ
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NAX
1 - 1
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
NAX
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
NAX
2 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAX
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |