Peña Sport vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SES
3 - 0
PEÑ
62%
23%
15%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
PON
19%
29%
52%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CFP
25%
30%
46%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
GUA
3 - 1
PEÑ
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
LEM
3 - 0
UBC
50%
27%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEM
50%
29%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
LEM
2 - 1
LOG
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEM
46%
30%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
LEM
1 - 2
CFP
55%
26%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |