Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
Peña Sport vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
IZA
2 - 0
PEÑ
81%
12%
6%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
CHA
2 - 2
PEÑ
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
PEÑ
6 - 0
LOY
81%
14%
5%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
VAL
5 - 2
PEÑ
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
SDA
82%
14%
4%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
IZA
2 - 0
PEÑ
81%
12%
6%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
IZA
2 - 2
AND
64%
21%
14%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
LEM
4 - 0
IZA
50%
28%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
IZA
2 - 1
SNT
62%
23%
15%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
CDU
0 - 2
IZA
51%
28%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |